| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.6% | 68% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.8% | 65.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| logistic | 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1571 | 1705 |
| Surface Elo | 1571 | 1705 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Mateo Del Pino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Boris Arias | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Gonzalo Villanueva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Jose Pereira | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.46 | 68.5% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 29 Oct 06:15 |