| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.7% | 50% | -4.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 79% | -3.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.5% | 70% | -12.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 49% | +13.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.0% | 25.0% | 17.9% |
| xgboost | 36.1% | 34.1% | 29.7% |
| logistic | 31.5% | 18.7% | 49.8% |
| Logrones | Cultural Leonesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1405 | 1354 |
| Surface Elo | 1405 | 1354 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.67 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 1966 | 141 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Terrassa FC | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Naxara CD | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Oct | A | Lugo | 1 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | UD Barbastro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | FC Barcelona Atletic | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Salamanca CF UDS | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Arenas Club Getxo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | UD Santa Marta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Burgos | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |