OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-29
🎾 ATP Vienna, Austria Men Singles · Thursday 29 October 2026, 12:30 UTC · finished
Tommy Paul 1.80 2 - 0 0.60 Luciano Darderi
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 68.9%79%-10.4%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov61.2%38.8%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost78.7%21.2%
logistic72.2%27.8%
Inputs the models saw
Tommy PaulLuciano Darderi
Elo (pre-match)20071816
Surface Elo20071816
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.60
Form trend0.30-0.60
Season points per game2.001.20
Season goals for / game1.440.80
Season goals against / game0.781.20
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W1 W · 0 D
Tommy Paul: last 5
27 OctHAndrey Rublev2 - 0W
24 OctHTaylor Fritz0 - 1L
24 OctATaylor Fritz0 - 2L
23 OctACorentin Moutet2 - 1W
23 OctACorentin Moutet2 - 1W
Luciano Darderi: last 5
26 OctHMatteo Arnaldi2 - 0W
21 OctAJames Duckworth0 - 2L
21 OctAJames Duckworth0 - 2L
10 OctHStefanos Tsitsipas0 - 2L
10 OctHStefanos Tsitsipas0 - 2L
Head to head
10 May 2026Luciano Darderi2 - 1Tommy Paul
05 Aug 2024Luciano Darderi0 - 2Tommy Paul
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.0025.0%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2679.4%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:02 UTC