| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.0% | 70% | -16.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.9% | 57.9% |
| logistic | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Giuseppe La Vela | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1485 | 1502 |
| Surface Elo | 1485 | 1502 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Primucci, Leonardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Stepan Baum | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Cocola, Sebastiano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Eric Vanshelboim | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Kalin Ivanovski | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Eero Vasa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Tiago Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |