| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.3% | 71% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| logistic | 31.9% | 68.1% |
| Patrick Maloney | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1662 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1662 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 72 | 37 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Michael Mmoh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Alastair Gray | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Garrett Johns | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Blaise Bicknell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | James Trotter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | J.J. Wolf | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Patrick Maloney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Karue Sell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Michael Mmoh | 2 - 0 | Patrick Maloney |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 16 Sep 06:15 |