| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.6% | 45% | +2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.3% | 81% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.7% | 63% | -2.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 56% | +2.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.5% | 25.8% | 42.7% |
| xgboost | 38.0% | 26.6% | 35.4% |
| logistic | 36.9% | 29.0% | 34.1% |
| Vicenza | Pisa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1396 | 1431 |
| Surface Elo | 1396 | 1431 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Reggiana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Verona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Juve Stabia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Virtus Entella | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Avellino | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Napoli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Monaco | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Mantova | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Mantova | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Spezia | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Feb 2022 | Pisa | 2 - 2 | Vicenza |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Vicenza | 1 - 3 | Pisa |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Pisa | 2 - 2 | Vicenza |
| 31 Oct 2020 | Vicenza | 4 - 4 | Pisa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 10 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 10 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 10 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 10 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 10 Oct 16:15 |