| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.3% | 68% | -10.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 67.3% | 32.6% |
| logistic | 52.6% | 47.4% |
| Alexander Shevchenko | Yoshihito Nishioka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1722 | 1756 |
| Surface Elo | 1722 | 1756 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 273 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 3 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Jul | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Jan | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Jason Jung | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | James Mccabe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Akira Santillan | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |