| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.9% | 46% | -2.1% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.6% | 80% | -4.9% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.6% | 61% | -5.2% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 70% | -14.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.8% | 26.5% | 22.7% |
| xgboost | 39.3% | 24.7% | 36.0% |
| logistic | 29.1% | 28.0% | 42.9% |
| Waalwijk | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1419 | 1407 |
| Surface Elo | 1419 | 1407 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 530 | 530 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 27 Oct | A | BVV Barendrecht | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Oct | A | Graafschap | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Volendam | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Heracles | 0 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | FC Emmen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Telstar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Amsterdamsche FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Roda JC Kerkrade | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | FC Emmen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | De Treffers Groesbeek | 2 - 3 | L |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Almere City | 1 - 4 | Waalwijk |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Waalwijk | 2 - 0 | Almere City |
| 04 Apr 2024 | Waalwijk | 0 - 0 | Almere City |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Almere City | 1 - 0 | Waalwijk |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.45 | 69.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.70 | 37.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |