| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.3% | 62% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.7% | 68.2% |
| logistic | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Anastasia Tikhonova | Ella Mcdonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1417 | 1636 |
| Surface Elo | 1417 | 1636 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.77 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Yeonwoo Ku | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Xinyu Gao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Mariia Tkacheva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Simona Waltert | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Viktoria Hruncakova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Mortensen, R | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Rose Marie Nijkamp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Iryna Shymanovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Kate Fakih | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |