OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-23
⚽ Germany 2. Bundesliga · Friday 23 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Darmstadt 1.20 0 - 0 1.80 St Pauli
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.1%32%+11.4%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.0%77%-2.9%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 54.5%43%+11.3%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.9%59%-3.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.9%28.2%32.9%
xgboost36.0%30.2%33.8%
logistic38.2%27.7%34.1%
Inputs the models saw
DarmstadtSt Pauli
Elo (pre-match)14091480
Surface Elo14091480
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.80
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game1.501.67
Season goals for / game1.501.33
Season goals against / game2.500.67
Rest days55
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Darmstadt: last 5
18 OctAKarlsruhe0 - 4L
18 OctAKarlsruher SC0 - 4L
10 OctHCottbus3 - 1W
10 OctHCottbus3 - 1W
18 SepAWolfsburg1 - 5L
St Pauli: last 5
17 OctAHannover1 - 1D
17 OctAHannover1 - 1D
11 OctHKarlsruher SC2 - 0W
11 OctHKarlsruhe2 - 0W
03 OctHBorussia M´gladbach1 - 1D
Head to head
06 May 2023Darmstadt0 - 3St Pauli
29 Oct 2022St Pauli1 - 1Darmstadt
23 Apr 2022St Pauli1 - 2Darmstadt
20 Nov 2021Darmstadt4 - 0St Pauli
20 Feb 2021St Pauli3 - 2Darmstadt
24 Oct 2020Darmstadt2 - 2St Pauli
23 May 2020Darmstadt4 - 0St Pauli
19 Oct 2019St Pauli0 - 1Darmstadt
29 Jan 2019Darmstadt2 - 1St Pauli
10 Aug 2018St Pauli2 - 0Darmstadt
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.1546.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.2530.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7058.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC