| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.3% | 68% | -6.8% | |
| DC | Draw or away | 85.3% | 88% | -2.2% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 80.4% | 84% | -3.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 68% | -12.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 16.4% | 20.3% | 63.3% |
| xgboost | 16.8% | 22.1% | 61.1% |
| logistic | 11.5% | 21.2% | 67.3% |
| Falkirk | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1667 | 1917 |
| Surface Elo | 1667 | 1917 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Aberdeen | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Aberdeen | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Kilmarnock | 3 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Kilmarnock | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Hibernian | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Dundee United | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Dundee United | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Hibernian | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Hibernian | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Celta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Celtic | 2 - 1 | Falkirk |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Celtic | 3 - 1 | Falkirk |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Celtic | 2 - 0 | Falkirk |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Falkirk | 0 - 1 | Celtic |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Celtic | 4 - 0 | Falkirk |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.13 | 19.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.04 | 16.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.47 | 68.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.70 | 37.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |