| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.5% | 82% | -12.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 28.5% | 71.4% |
| logistic | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Filip Pieczonka | George Loffhagen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1436 | 1607 |
| Surface Elo | 1436 | 1607 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 48 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Oleksii Krutykh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Adrian Oetzbach | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Charles Broom | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Ivan Ivanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Alastair Gray | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.22 | 82.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.05 | 24.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |