| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.1% | 45% | +6.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.2% | 44.7% |
| logistic | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Liam Draxl | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1695 | 1747 |
| Surface Elo | 1695 | 1747 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 0.53 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 29 Oct | H | Daniil Ostapenkov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Tomasz Berkieta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Martin Landaluce | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Ilya Ivashka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Omar Jasika | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Sander Jong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Mees Rottgering | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct 2025 | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | Liam Draxl |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |