OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-16
⚽ Germany 3. Liga · Friday 16 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
FC Koln 1.40 0 - 1 1.20 Stuttgart
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.3%34%+13.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.8%79%-4.1%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 61.0%46%+15.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65.6%64%+1.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 62.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson26.6%23.4%50.0%
xgboost34.9%32.7%32.4%
logistic30.1%27.1%42.8%
Inputs the models saw
FC KolnStuttgart
Elo (pre-match)15261703
Surface Elo15261703
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.20
Form trend0.00-0.30
Season points per game1.831.67
Season goals for / game2.172.33
Season goals against / game1.172.00
Rest days56
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W7 W · 2 D
FC Koln: last 5
14 OctHSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2 - 2D
13 OctARot-Weiss Essen0 - 2L
11 OctAAlemannia Aachen5 - 2W
11 OctHBorussia M´gladbach2 - 1W
11 OctHBorussia Mönchengladbach2 - 1W
Stuttgart: last 5
14 OctASlovan Bratislava3 - 0W
13 OctHHoffenheim3 - 2W
10 OctAPaderborn2 - 0W
10 OctAPaderborn2 - 0W
10 OctASV Meppen 19121 - 1D
Head to head
04 Sep 2026Stuttgart4 - 1FC Koln
14 Feb 2026Stuttgart3 - 1FC Koln
28 Sep 2025FC Koln1 - 2Stuttgart
24 Feb 2024Stuttgart1 - 1FC Koln
30 Sep 2023FC Koln0 - 2Stuttgart
18 Feb 2023Stuttgart3 - 0FC Koln
28 Aug 2022FC Koln0 - 0Stuttgart
14 May 2022Stuttgart2 - 1FC Koln
19 Dec 2021FC Koln1 - 0Stuttgart
20 Feb 2021FC Koln0 - 1Stuttgart
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.9034.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2544.4%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5564.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:52 UTC