| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.4% | 60% | -1.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 65.8% | 34.2% |
| logistic | 57.3% | 42.7% |
| Zdenek Kolar | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1601 | 1530 |
| Surface Elo | 1601 | 1530 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Hynek Barton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Benito Sanchez Martinez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Benito Sanchez Martinez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Domenc, Mathys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | Zdenek Kolar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.68 | 59.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |