OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ Belgium Pro League · Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Westerlo 2.00 5 - 1 0.20 Antwerp
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.8%45%+6.6%✓ hit
DCHome or away 77.4%78%-0.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 67.5%60%+7.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63.5%66%-2.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.2%25.3%33.5%
xgboost60.7%20.4%18.9%
logistic48.8%27.2%24.1%
Inputs the models saw
WesterloAntwerp
Elo (pre-match)15641513
Surface Elo15641513
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.000.20
Form trend-0.800.20
Season points per game3.000.00
Season goals for / game2.000.00
Season goals against / game0.002.00
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W6 W · 2 D
Westerlo: last 5
20 SepASt. Truidense VV2 - 0W
20 SepASt Truiden2 - 0W
12 SepHStandard4 - 2W
05 SepAMechelen4 - 0W
30 AugHWaregem2 - 2D
Antwerp: last 5
20 SepHSt. Gilloise0 - 2L
20 SepHUnion Gilloise0 - 2L
13 SepAClub Brugge1 - 3L
05 SepAStandard0 - 1L
30 AugHSt Truiden1 - 4L
Head to head
23 May 2026Antwerp2 - 0Westerlo
25 Apr 2026Westerlo2 - 4Antwerp
15 Feb 2026Antwerp0 - 2Westerlo
30 Aug 2025Westerlo2 - 0Antwerp
19 Jan 2025Antwerp3 - 2Westerlo
21 Sep 2024Westerlo1 - 2Antwerp
23 Dec 2023Antwerp2 - 2Westerlo
15 Sep 2023Westerlo0 - 3Antwerp
27 Dec 2022Westerlo3 - 3Antwerp
04 Sep 2022Antwerp3 - 0Westerlo
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.0732.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8226.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2145.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5166.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.6038.5%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:22 UTC