| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.5% | 57% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.0% | 84% | -3.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.4% | 76% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.3% | 43% | +5.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.1% | 24.3% | 20.6% |
| xgboost | 61.0% | 19.9% | 19.1% |
| logistic | 53.5% | 25.5% | 21.0% |
| Stranraer | Stirling | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1453 | 1342 |
| Surface Elo | 1453 | 1342 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 5 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Clyde | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Clyde | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Spartans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Spartans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Annan Athletic | 6 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | East Kilbride | 3 - 7 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Forfar | 5 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Forfar | 5 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Dumbarton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Dumbarton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Stirling | 2 - 2 | Stranraer |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Stranraer | 1 - 1 | Stirling |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Stirling | 1 - 1 | Stranraer |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Stranraer | 3 - 2 | Stirling |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Stirling | 1 - 0 | Stranraer |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Stirling | 3 - 1 | Stranraer |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Stranraer | 3 - 0 | Stirling |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Stirling | 1 - 1 | Stranraer |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Stranraer | 0 - 2 | Stirling |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Stranraer | 1 - 1 | Stirling |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.54 | 64.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |