| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.1% | 36% | +12.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.5% | 67% | +10.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.6% | 51% | +15.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 55% | +1.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.6% | 25.6% | 21.9% |
| xgboost | 40.0% | 37.6% | 22.4% |
| logistic | 43.1% | 28.7% | 28.2% |
| Annecy | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1501 | 1421 |
| Surface Elo | 1501 | 1421 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Dunkerque | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Dunkerque | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Dijon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Guingamp | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | A | Grenoble | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Guingamp | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Guingamp | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Rodez | 4 - 3 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Reims | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Apr 2026 | Nancy | 1 - 5 | Annecy |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Annecy | 1 - 2 | Nancy |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.99 | 50.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.79 | 55.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |