| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.9% | 65% | +1.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.8% | 68.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.3% | 73.6% |
| logistic | 38.4% | 61.6% |
| Alina Charaeva | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1562 | 1686 |
| Surface Elo | 1562 | 1686 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Elena Rybakina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Sonay Kartal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Elena Rybakina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Alina Charaeva | 2 - 0 | Sonay Kartal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |