OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Scotland League 2 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Elgin 1.20 0 - 0 1.40 Edinburgh City
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.1%50%+1.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 78.6%81%-2.5%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 65.3%67%-1.4%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65.0%63%+1.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 62.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson54.4%21.5%24.1%
xgboost44.3%22.0%33.7%
logistic48.4%24.7%26.9%
Inputs the models saw
ElginEdinburgh City
Elo (pre-match)13921342
Surface Elo13921342
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.40
Form trend-0.900.20
Season points per game2.001.33
Season goals for / game3.001.33
Season goals against / game2.671.33
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W4 W · 1 D
Elgin: last 5
13 OctHAberdeen0 - 1L
10 OctAForfar2 - 1W
10 OctAForfar2 - 1W
03 OctHClyde6 - 2W
03 OctHClyde6 - 2W
Edinburgh City: last 5
13 OctHSt Mirren0 - 5L
10 OctHSpartans1 - 3L
10 OctHSpartans1 - 3L
03 OctAStranraer0 - 0D
03 OctAStranraer0 - 0D
Head to head
01 Aug 2026Edinburgh City0 - 5Elgin
21 Mar 2026Edinburgh City0 - 3Elgin
24 Feb 2026Elgin3 - 0Edinburgh City
08 Nov 2025Edinburgh City1 - 3Elgin
23 Aug 2025Elgin2 - 4Edinburgh City
12 Apr 2025Edinburgh City2 - 0Elgin
22 Feb 2025Elgin1 - 2Edinburgh City
21 Dec 2024Edinburgh City1 - 0Elgin
28 Sep 2024Elgin3 - 3Edinburgh City
26 Mar 2022Elgin2 - 0Edinburgh City
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.9533.9%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1546.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5564.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC