| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.4% | 30% | +17.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 81% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.4% | 40% | +19.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 64% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.1% | 26.1% | 34.8% |
| xgboost | 36.5% | 25.0% | 38.5% |
| logistic | 35.7% | 29.4% | 34.9% |
| Fleetwood Town | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1452 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1452 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Salford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Salford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Rochdale | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Rochdale | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Oldham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Leeds | 3 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Leicester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Leicester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Plymouth | 0 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Stevenage | 1 - 5 | L |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 2 | Barnsley |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Barnsley | 2 - 2 | Fleetwood Town |
| 29 Dec 2022 | Barnsley | 2 - 1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 1 | Barnsley |
| 13 Apr 2019 | Barnsley | 4 - 2 | Fleetwood Town |
| 29 Sep 2018 | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 3 | Barnsley |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |