| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.2% | 71% | -6.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 54.7% |
| logistic | 27.5% | 72.5% |
| Federico Bondioli | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1486 | 1601 |
| Surface Elo | 1486 | 1601 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 0.93 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Jay Clarke | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Francesco Forti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Francesco Forti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Ryan Seggerman | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Francesco Forti | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |