| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.5% | 70% | -9.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| logistic | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Dominic Stricker | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1628 | 1552 |
| Surface Elo | 1628 | 1552 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Marko Topo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 0 | Philip Henning |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 0 | Philip Henning |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 14 Oct 06:15 |