| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 76.0% | 71% | +5.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 23.5% | 76.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.7% | 59.1% |
| logistic | 24.2% | 75.8% |
| James Mccabe | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1504 | 1716 |
| Surface Elo | 1504 | 1716 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 7 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Kasidit Samrej | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Kasidit Samrej | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Hiroki Moriya | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Elias Ymer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jay Friend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Yosuke Watanuki | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Yosuke Watanuki | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Yuta Shimizu | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.48 | 67.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |