OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-09

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Friday 09 October 2026, 07:20 UTC · scheduled

Karen Khachanov 1.80 07:20 2.40 Arthur Fery

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	61.7%	68%	-6.8%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	68.7%	31.3%
logistic	57.4%	42.6%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Karen Khachanov	Arthur Fery
Elo (pre-match)	1886	1818
Surface Elo	1886	1818
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	2.40
Form trend	0.60	0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	5	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Karen Khachanov: last 5

09 Oct	A	Dillon Beckles	2 - 1	W
04 Oct	A	Hubert Hurkacz	0 - 2	L
04 Oct	A	Hubert Hurkacz	0 - 2	L
02 Oct	A	Alex Molcan	2 - 0	W
30 Sep	H	Felix Auger Aliassime	2 - 0	W

Arthur Fery: last 5

07 Oct	H	Marin Cilic	2 - 0	W
30 Aug	H	Ignacio Buse	0 - 2	L
29 Aug	H	James Duckworth	1 - 0	W
28 Aug	A	Aleksandar Kovacevic	2 - 1	W
27 Aug	H	Mees Rottgering	2 - 0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings in our data.

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.80	35.7%	09 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.46	68.5%	09 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.60	38.5%	09 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.50	66.7%	09 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.90	34.5%	09 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.43	69.9%	09 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.05	32.8%	09 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.47	68.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Arthur Fery	3.15	31.8%	09 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Karen Khachanov	1.49	67.1%	09 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.93	34.1%	09 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.42	70.4%	09 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.80	35.7%	09 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.45	69.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.85	35.1%	09 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.43	69.9%	09 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.81	35.6%	09 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.44	69.4%	09 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.65	37.7%	09 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.47	68.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.05	32.8%	09 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.47	68.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Arthur Fery	3.15	31.8%	09 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Karen Khachanov	1.49	67.1%	09 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.80	35.7%	09 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.45	69.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.99	33.4%	09 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.44	69.4%	09 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.55	39.2%	09 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.42	70.4%	09 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.80	35.7%	09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.46	68.5%	09 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.70	37.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.40	71.4%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.70	37.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.39	71.9%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.65	37.7%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.47	68.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.65	37.7%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.47	68.0%	09 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.60	38.5%	09 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.50	66.7%	09 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.85	35.1%	09 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.47	68.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.75	36.4%	09 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Karen Khachanov	1.44	69.4%	09 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 19:21 UTC