OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-31
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 2026, 14:30 UTC · scheduled
Augsburg 0.60 14:30 1.40 Freiburg
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 44.4%44%-0.1%
DCHome or away 76.2%77%-0.9%
DNBAway (DNB) 55.9%59%-3.2%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64.1%68%-3.9%
BTTSBTTS yes 63.5%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.8%25.4%36.8%
xgboost31.9%24.3%43.8%
logistic32.2%27.2%40.6%
Inputs the models saw
AugsburgFreiburg
Elo (pre-match)16111658
Surface Elo16111658
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.40
Form trend0.000.70
Season points per game0.671.00
Season goals for / game2.001.33
Season goals against / game2.332.00
Rest days75
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W6 W · 2 D
Augsburg: last 5
27 OctASG Sonnenhof Grossaspach4 - 2W
24 OctHUnion Berlin1 - 1D
24 OctHUnion Berlin1 - 1D
17 OctAElversberg3 - 4L
17 OctAElversberg3 - 4L
Freiburg: last 5
28 OctHWolfsburg3 - 2W
25 OctHBayern München1 - 3L
25 OctHBayern München1 - 3L
22 OctAMonaco0 - 3L
18 OctABayer Leverkusen1 - 2L
Head to head
18 Jan 2026Augsburg2 - 2Freiburg
23 Aug 2025Freiburg1 - 3Augsburg
02 Mar 2025Augsburg0 - 0Freiburg
19 Oct 2024Freiburg3 - 1Augsburg
25 Feb 2024Augsburg2 - 1Freiburg
01 Oct 2023Freiburg2 - 0Augsburg
28 Jan 2023Freiburg3 - 1Augsburg
06 Aug 2022Augsburg0 - 4Freiburg
19 Feb 2022Augsburg1 - 2Freiburg
26 Sep 2021Freiburg3 - 0Augsburg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2644.2%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9525.3%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.0832.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4768.0%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7536.4%30 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 14:00 UTC