| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.8% | 56% | +1.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.4% | 59.5% |
| logistic | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| Tristan Boyer | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1610 | 1679 |
| Surface Elo | 1610 | 1679 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.63 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 8 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Zsombor Piros | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Kalin Ivanovski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | Tristan Boyer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |