| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.4% | 16% | +40.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 82.2% | 35% | +47.7% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 76.7% | 19% | +57.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 74% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 11.2% | 18.9% | 69.9% |
| xgboost | 28.5% | 32.2% | 39.3% |
| logistic | 12.5% | 22.4% | 65.1% |
| Bonnyrigg Rose | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1324 | 1678 |
| Surface Elo | 1324 | 1678 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 6.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 510 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Airdrieonians FC | 1 - 6 | L |
| 03 May | A | Stranraer | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | Spartans | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Apr | A | Forfar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | East Fife | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Dundee | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Dundee | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 0 - 4 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Rangers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | Dundee United | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.25 | 16.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.40 | 18.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.95 | 33.9% | 26 Sep 06:15 |