| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.1% | 70% | -2.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| logistic | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| Zsombor Piros | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1795 | 1539 |
| Surface Elo | 1795 | 1539 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Max Schoenhaus | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Zsombor Piros | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Tom Gentzsch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | Zsombor Piros |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | Zsombor Piros |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.35 | 74.1% | 30 Sep 06:15 |