OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-09
🎾 ATP Challenger Brisbane 3, Australia Men Singles · Monday 09 November 2026, 02:20 UTC · finished
Bernard Tomic 0.60 2 - 1 1.20 Blake Ellis
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 71.6%67%+4.5%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov64.9%35.1%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost59.1%40.8%
logistic74.0%26.0%
Inputs the models saw
Bernard TomicBlake Ellis
Elo (pre-match)16431549
Surface Elo16431549
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.20
Form trend0.600.00
Season points per game2.141.50
Season goals for / game1.431.00
Season goals against / game0.711.50
Rest days269
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Bernard Tomic: last 5
13 OctADane Sweeny0 - 1L
12 OctHDane Sweeny0 - 1L
08 OctHMatteo Arnaldi0 - 2L
08 OctHMatteo Arnaldi0 - 2L
05 OctATerence Atmane2 - 1W
Blake Ellis: last 5
30 OctHPhilip Sekulic1 - 2L
21 OctHBenjamin O'Connell2 - 0W
17 SepHIlia Simakin0 - 2L
15 SepHHiroki Moriya2 - 1W
14 SepHIlia Simakin0 - 2L
Head to head
05 Jan 2026Bernard Tomic1 - 2Blake Ellis
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.5040.0%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4967.1%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:54 UTC