| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.1% | 79% | -11.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.2% | 62.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.8% | 80.2% |
| logistic | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Nick Hardt | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1644 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1644 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.91 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.27 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 0.64 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Franco Roncadelli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Franco Roncadelli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.27 | 78.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.55 | 28.2% | 29 Oct 06:15 |