| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.9% | 43% | +0.2% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 80% | -4.7% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.1% | 57% | -3.2% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 66% | -5.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.1% | 25.4% | 38.5% |
| xgboost | 36.7% | 28.5% | 34.8% |
| logistic | 42.5% | 25.4% | 32.1% |
| Tamworth | Woking | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1428 | 1444 |
| Surface Elo | 1428 | 1444 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 4 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Leeds | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Boreham Wood | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Boreham Wood | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Scunthorpe | 3 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Scunthorpe | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 2 - 3 | L |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Woking | 3 - 1 | Tamworth |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Tamworth | 0 - 1 | Woking |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Woking | 1 - 1 | Tamworth |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Tamworth | 3 - 2 | Woking |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |