| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.3% | 79% | -18.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 69.7% | 18.1% |
| xgboost | 64.4% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 69.1% | 30.9% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | Vancouver Canucks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1587 | 1315 |
| Surface Elo | 1587 | 1315 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.71 | 0.22 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.71 | 4.56 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 4 - 3 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | New York Rangers | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | New York Islanders | 5 - 3 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 3 - 2 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Florida Panthers | 2 - 3 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | New York Islanders | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | New York Rangers | 2 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | New Jersey Devils | 1 - 4 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 7 | L |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Vancouver Canucks | 2 - 6 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 - 6 | Vancouver Canucks |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Vancouver Canucks | 2 - 4 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 15 Oct 2024 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 - 1 | Vancouver Canucks |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 17 Oct 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 4.12 | 24.3% | 17 Oct 18:20 |