| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.5% | 39% | +10.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 75% | +0.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.8% | 56% | +8.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 60% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.8% | 28.6% | 43.6% |
| xgboost | 28.9% | 25.1% | 46.0% |
| logistic | 25.0% | 27.1% | 47.9% |
| Tenerife | Girona | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1408 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1408 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Cordoba | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Cordoba | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | CD San Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | CD Estepona | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Cadiz | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Espanyol Barcelona B | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Mallorca | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | H | Mallorca | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Osasuna | 3 - 2 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Albacete | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 May 2022 | Girona | 0 - 1 | Tenerife |
| 08 Nov 2021 | Tenerife | 2 - 1 | Girona |
| 01 May 2021 | Girona | 1 - 0 | Tenerife |
| 21 Dec 2020 | Tenerife | 2 - 0 | Girona |
| 19 Jan 2020 | Tenerife | 1 - 0 | Girona |
| 08 Nov 2019 | Girona | 1 - 0 | Tenerife |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 12 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 12 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.82 | 35.5% | 12 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 12 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.70 | 58.8% | 12 Oct 20:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 12 Oct 06:15 |