OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
🇮🇹 Serie A · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Atalanta 0.60 4 - 4 2.00 Frosinone
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.1%54%-4.8%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.0%80%-4.3%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 64.2%70%-5.6%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.2%72%-12.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 59.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson55.3%22.3%22.4%
xgboost41.1%27.3%31.6%
logistic44.7%27.9%27.4%
Inputs the models saw
AtalantaFrosinone
Elo (pre-match)17011675
Surface Elo17011675
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.602.00
Form trend-0.300.10
Season points per game1.291.86
Season goals for / game1.431.86
Season goals against / game1.571.29
Rest days68
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 0 D
Atalanta: last 5
24 OctHCampobasso FC1 - 2L
22 OctAAjax0 - 2L
18 OctAAc Milan2 - 3L
18 OctAAc Milan2 - 3L
18 OctAAS Gubbio2 - 0W
Frosinone: last 5
16 OctHSassuolo4 - 2W
16 OctHSassuolo4 - 2W
10 OctANapoli0 - 3L
10 OctANapoli0 - 3L
20 SepHComo2 - 0W
Head to head
15 Jan 2024Atalanta5 - 0Frosinone
26 Aug 2023Frosinone2 - 1Atalanta
20 Jan 2019Frosinone0 - 5Atalanta
20 Aug 2018Atalanta4 - 0Frosinone
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.3030.3%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2draw4.3323.1%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2home1.9152.4%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3375.2%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.4029.4%25 Oct 14:00
SportyBet1X2away3.6527.4%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.3223.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9451.5%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3574.1%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.3030.3%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC