| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.8% | 95% | -28.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.9% | 26.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Moise Kouame | Filip Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1553 | 1418 |
| Surface Elo | 1553 | 1418 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Matsuda, Ryuki | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Florent Bax | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Filip Peliwo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Ryuki Matsuda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tai Sach | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Arthur Weber | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Grigoriy Lomakin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Filip Peliwo | 0 - 1 | Moise Kouame |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.70 | 11.5% | 16 Sep 23:42 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.05 | 95.2% | 16 Sep 23:42 |