| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.0% | 57% | -14.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 81% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 53.8% | 75% | -20.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 65% | -10.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.6% | 26.5% | 36.9% |
| xgboost | 35.3% | 28.0% | 36.8% |
| logistic | 31.5% | 30.0% | 38.6% |
| Bromley | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1489 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1489 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Stockport | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Stockport | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Doncaster | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Doncaster | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Woking | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Peterborough United | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Peterboro | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.20 | 23.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.54 | 64.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |