| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.1% | 64% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.4% | 40.5% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Maria Sakkari | Donna Vekic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1653 | 1582 |
| Surface Elo | 1653 | 1582 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Maja Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Mia Pohankova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Donna Vekic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Elina Svitolina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maria Sakkari | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Iga Swiatek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Lin Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Iga Swiatek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Lin Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Donna Vekic | 0 - 2 | Maria Sakkari |
| 18 Aug 2025 | Donna Vekic | 2 - 0 | Maria Sakkari |
| 22 Apr 2024 | Donna Vekic | 0 - 2 | Maria Sakkari |
| 19 Jun 2023 | Donna Vekic | 2 - 0 | Maria Sakkari |
| 06 Feb 2023 | Donna Vekic | 0 - 2 | Maria Sakkari |
| 10 Oct 2022 | Donna Vekic | 2 - 0 | Maria Sakkari |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 12 Oct 06:15 |