| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.0% | 51% | +1.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.1% | 80% | -1.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.1% | 69% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.4% | 53% | -5.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.0% | 28.3% | 22.7% |
| xgboost | 44.7% | 33.9% | 21.5% |
| logistic | 48.5% | 26.6% | 24.8% |
| Kidderminster | Yeovil | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1466 | 1405 |
| Surface Elo | 1466 | 1405 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.78 | 1.56 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Woking | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Woking | 0 - 0 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Hartlepool | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Solihull | 4 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Aldershot | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Fylde | 1 - 4 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Southend | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Tamworth | 3 - 2 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.88 | 53.2% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.90 | 52.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |