OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-06
⚽ France Ligue 2 · Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Dunkerque 0.80 3 - 0 1.20 Guingamp
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 39.6%36%+3.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.0%77%-3.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 52.4%50%+2.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.0%47%+4.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 49.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.3%25.8%30.8%
xgboost34.0%26.5%39.5%
logistic34.5%29.6%35.9%
Inputs the models saw
DunkerqueGuingamp
Elo (pre-match)14031406
Surface Elo14031406
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.20
Form trend-0.10-0.90
Season points per game1.001.20
Season goals for / game1.001.40
Season goals against / game1.251.20
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Dunkerque: last 5
30 OctARodez Aveyron Football0 - 1L
30 OctARodez0 - 1L
23 OctHMetz1 - 1D
23 OctHMetz1 - 1D
17 OctANantes3 - 2W
Guingamp: last 5
31 OctHSaint-Etienne3 - 0W
31 OctHSt Etienne3 - 0W
23 OctAClermont2 - 0W
23 OctAClermont2 - 0W
16 OctHPau FC1 - 2L
Head to head
06 Feb 2026Dunkerque0 - 0Guingamp
23 Sep 2025Guingamp2 - 1Dunkerque
07 Apr 2025Dunkerque3 - 1Guingamp
04 Jan 2025Guingamp1 - 1Dunkerque
13 Apr 2024Dunkerque0 - 1Guingamp
12 Aug 2023Guingamp0 - 1Dunkerque
07 May 2022Dunkerque1 - 3Guingamp
21 Dec 2021Guingamp2 - 1Dunkerque
05 Feb 2021Guingamp0 - 0Dunkerque
03 Oct 2020Dunkerque1 - 0Guingamp
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.4540.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7536.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6859.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1546.5%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC