| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.2% | 48% | +0.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 78.8% | 79% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.6% | 63% | -3.5% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 36% | +16.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.8% | 24.5% | 28.6% |
| xgboost | 30.8% | 24.7% | 44.5% |
| logistic | 24.8% | 18.0% | 57.2% |
| Dover Athletic | Dorking | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1201 | 1354 |
| Surface Elo | 1201 | 1354 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1615 | 910 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Dorking | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | Hanwell Town FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | AFC Totton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 May | H | Weymouth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 May | A | Bromley | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Dover Athletic | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Chatham Town | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Braintree Town | 4 - 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Southall FC | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Apr | H | Hartlepool | 3 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Dover Athletic | 1 - 1 | Dorking |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.41 | 70.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.85 | 35.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |