| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.8% | 75% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.3% | 65.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| logistic | 28.6% | 71.4% |
| Benjamin Bonzi | Tommy Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1786 | 2005 |
| Surface Elo | 1786 | 2005 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Tommy Paul | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Rohan Murali | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | Tommy Paul |
| 12 Jun 2023 | Benjamin Bonzi | 0 - 2 | Tommy Paul |
| 21 Mar 2022 | Benjamin Bonzi | 0 - 2 | Tommy Paul |
| 10 Jan 2022 | Benjamin Bonzi | 0 - 2 | Tommy Paul |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.45 | 29.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |