| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 78.5% | 92% | -13.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 10.7% | 89.2% |
| logistic | 13.0% | 87.0% |
| Federico Zeballos | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1280 | 1479 |
| Surface Elo | 1280 | 1479 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 6 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | H | Luis Felipe Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Miguel Tobon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Lucio Ratti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Bruno Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Filip Misolic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.09 | 91.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.50 | 15.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |