OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
⚽ Italy Serie A · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Genoa 0.80 1 - 0 0.60 Venezia
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.4%46%-2.7%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.4%74%-0.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 56.6%64%-7.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.0%52%+2.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.2%27.8%33.0%
xgboost39.9%29.7%30.3%
logistic38.2%29.3%32.5%
Inputs the models saw
GenoaVenezia
Elo (pre-match)15771587
Surface Elo15771587
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.60
Form trend-0.20-0.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.001.00
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 2 D
Genoa: last 5
17 OctARoma0 - 2L
17 OctARoma0 - 2L
10 OctHFiorentina2 - 1W
10 OctHFiorentina2 - 1W
02 OctARapid Bucuresti 19230 - 2L
Venezia: last 5
17 OctHNapoli1 - 0W
17 OctHNapoli1 - 0W
12 OctAAtalanta1 - 3L
12 OctAAtalanta1 - 3L
10 OctHLecco0 - 1L
Head to head
17 Feb 2025Genoa2 - 0Venezia
21 Sep 2024Venezia2 - 0Genoa
16 Jan 2023Genoa1 - 0Venezia
14 Aug 2022Venezia1 - 2Genoa
20 Feb 2022Venezia1 - 1Genoa
31 Oct 2021Genoa0 - 0Venezia
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.5827.9%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4429.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1746.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9351.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8853.2%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC