| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.0% | 85% | -18.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 17.0% | 82.9% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Jakub Paul | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1588 | 1619 |
| Surface Elo | 1588 | 1619 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Loann Massard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Niels McDonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Mar | A | Alexandre Muller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Feb | H | Laurent Lokoli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Gaston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Moise Kouame | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jakub Paul | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Jakub Paul | 0 - 2 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.18 | 84.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.55 | 22.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |