| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.7% | 62% | -10.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| logistic | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Adrian Mannarino | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1795 | 1798 |
| Surface Elo | 1795 | 1798 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Hamad Medjedovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Federico Cina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Tomas Machac | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |