| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.6% | 37% | +7.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.2% | 73% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.9% | 53% | +4.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 43% | +12.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.6% | 31.4% | 24.0% |
| xgboost | 31.3% | 31.4% | 37.3% |
| logistic | 35.0% | 30.8% | 34.2% |
| Grenoble | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1430 | 1385 |
| Surface Elo | 1430 | 1385 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Montpellier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Montpellier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Clermont | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Rodez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Annecy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Sochaux | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Sochaux | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Nantes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Nantes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Clermont | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Grenoble | 0 - 0 | Boulogne |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Boulogne | 3 - 1 | Grenoble |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.45 | 40.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.53 | 65.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |