| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.4% | 61% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.7% | 38.2% |
| logistic | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Sergi Perez Contri | Sebastian Gima | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1459 | 1471 |
| Surface Elo | 1459 | 1471 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Nicolas Barrientos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | A | Jurij Rodionov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | A | Arthur Gea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Maximus Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Iannis Miletich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |