| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.8% | 47% | +7.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 78.9% | 77% | +2.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.4% | 66% | +0.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.6% | 48% | -4.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 45.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.4% | 28.0% | 25.6% |
| xgboost | 35.9% | 30.2% | 33.9% |
| logistic | 35.5% | 28.3% | 36.2% |
| Tranmere | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1341 | 1360 |
| Surface Elo | 1341 | 1360 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Exeter | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Exeter | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Gillingham | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Oldham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Rotherham | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Northampton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Rochdale | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Tranmere | 2 - 0 | Shrewsbury |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Shrewsbury | 1 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Tranmere | 4 - 0 | Shrewsbury |
| 25 Feb 2020 | Shrewsbury | 2 - 3 | Tranmere |
| 05 Oct 2019 | Tranmere | 0 - 1 | Shrewsbury |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 22 Sep 06:15 |