| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.6% | 67% | -11.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.6% | 55.4% |
| logistic | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Mia Pohankova | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1555 | 1554 |
| Surface Elo | 1555 | 1554 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 17 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Maria Sakkari | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Xiyu Wang | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Anna Bondar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Maria Timofeeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Katie Swan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Mia Pohankova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | Madison Keys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Mia Pohankova | 2 - 1 | Xiyu Wang |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.49 | 67.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |